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How Prediction Machines can help UK Government to offer Better Public Services

12 Jun 2019 by Emil Indricau 3 minute read

"The current wave of advances in artificial intelligence doesn’t actually bring us intelligence but instead a critical component of intelligence:- prediction."



Artificial Intelligence

Working within the technology industry there are some buzzwords which come up over and over again, the current one being 'Artificial Intelligence'.

A recent book on Prediction Machines: The simple economics of Artificial Intelligence gives a better understanding of what artificial intelligence means for the future;

"The current wave of advances in artificial intelligence doesn’t actually bring us intelligence but instead a critical component of intelligence:- prediction."

Prediction machines use algorithms to predict the likelihood of X. For example, predicting the salary of an individual given information on their demographics, behaviour and cultural trends. By calculating the prediction accuracy of an event happening to a certain person, industry or trend, we gain further insight and can act accordingly. Prediction machines or models have many advantages, although there is an investment required to build these models, there are savings made intervening in a problem before it escalates. Public sector organisations can do this, but only if they can convene and analyse the datasets that might collectively point to cases of highest future risk.




UK Government Departments

If we take the example of three isolated departments; Department for Education, the Police and the Department of Health & Social Care. If each department can collaborate and integrate their data, we would be able to predict various cases like individuals who are at risk of committing crime in the future, individuals who are vulnerable and individuals who are at risk of drug/alcohol abuse etc. By identifying the potential problem before it happens this has a domino effect in future years. The costs of intervening before an event far outweigh the costs of intervening after the problem.  In January 2018, it was announced that Kanagawa, a Japanese prefecture, hoped to introduce predictive policing, when tackling crime before the 2020 Tokyo Olympics. This AI-based system would employ a 'deep learning' algorithm that allows the computer to teach itself by analysing big data. By gathering various data from different departments, they can use metrics on time, places, weather and geographical conditions to predict the likelihood of criminal offences taking place.

department-for-education-uk PSNI-uk department-of-health-and-social-care-uk


Automated Processes

The collection of data is crucial to all things predictive. Most departments are sitting on a pool of data that can facilitate prediction machines and automated processes. From Forbes top 5 technology trends in 2019, three of the five trends will require the utilisation of data to deliver the output.

If you would like to find out more about how your data could be used for prediction or classification purposes, feel free to get in touch with our team.

Topics: Data Analytics, Public Sector, Government, Artificial Intelligence, prediction

Emil Indricau Emil Indricau
About the Author
Emil Indricau

Digital Marketing Specialist at Anaeko

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